Boston University
W-L: (11-23) PR = 94.2632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 926 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 4- 4 1003 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 0- 5 1004 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 2- 5 1010 A Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 1- 3 1011 A Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 3- 4 1017 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 1- 2 1024 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 4- 2 1031 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 1- 3 1101 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 3- 7 1107 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 1- 3 1108 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 1113 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 2- 5 1114 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 2- 3 1121 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 4- 1 1122 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 2- 2 1202 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 3- 0 1205 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 1 1206 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 2- 3 1206 H Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 0- 6 102 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 2 103 H Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 3- 2 110 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 113 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 1 117 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 2- 4 120 H Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 1- 2 120 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 3- 3 123 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 2- 5 124 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 1- 2 130 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 0 131 H Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 1 205 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 0- 3 207 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 0- 2 213 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 5 213 H Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 0- 6 214 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 0- 2 220 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 3- 1 221 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 0- 4 225 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 3- 0 228 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
926 H Boston College 4- 4 0 0 0.08
1003 H Minnesota 0- 5 -5 -4 -1.46
1004 H Minnesota 2- 5 -3 -4 0.54
1010 A Colgate 1- 3 -2 -2 0.11
1011 A Colgate 3- 4 -1 -2 1.11
1017 H Brown 1- 2 -1 -1 0.19
1024 H New Hampshire 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.55
1031 H Northeastern 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.08
1101 A Northeastern 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.29
1107 A Maine 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.35
1108 A Maine 2- 1 1 -1 1.65
1113 A Boston College 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13
1114 H Boston College 2- 3 -1 0 -0.92
1121 H Providence 4- 1 3 1 + 2.22
1122 A Providence 2- 2 0 0 0.01
1202 A Holy Cross 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.98
1205 A Connecticut 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.95
1206 H Connecticut 2- 3 -1 -2 1.16
1206 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.06
102 H Quinnipiac 2- 2 0 -3 + 2.82
103 H Harvard 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.02
110 A New Hampshire 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.34
113 H Northeastern 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.92
117 H Holy Cross 2- 4 -2 0 -1.81
120 H Harvard 1- 2 -1 -1 0.02
120 H Boston College 3- 3 0 0 0.08
123 H Vermont 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.00
124 H Vermont 1- 2 -1 0 -1.00
130 A Merrimack 3- 0 3 0 + 2.50
131 H Merrimack 3- 1 2 1 0.72
205 A Vermont 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21
207 H Maine 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.14
213 H Northeastern 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.08
213 H Franklin Pierce 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.61
214 H Connecticut 0- 2 -2 -2 0.16
220 H Providence 3- 1 2 1 1.22
221 A Boston College 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.13
225 H Providence 3- 0 3 1 + 2.22
228 A Northeastern 1- 2 -1 -3 1.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.06 213 H Franklin Pierce 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.61 1113 A Boston College 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13 123 H Vermont 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.00 205 A Vermont 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21 207 H Maine 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.14 221 A Boston College 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H New Hampshire 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.55 1121 H Providence 4- 1 3 1 + 2.22 1202 A Holy Cross 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.98 1205 A Connecticut 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.95 102 H Quinnipiac 2- 2 0 -3 + 2.82 103 H Harvard 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.02 110 A New Hampshire 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.34 113 H Northeastern 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.92 130 A Merrimack 3- 0 3 0 + 2.50 225 H Providence 3- 0 3 1 + 2.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 4- 4 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 0.00
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 0- 5 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.94 -0.98
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 2- 5 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.94 -0.98
3 A Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 1- 3 -3.92 4.08 0.39 0.94 -1.66
3 A Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 3- 4 -3.92 4.08 0.39 0.94 -1.66
3 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 1- 2 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 0.94 -2.09
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 4- 2 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.94 5.48
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 3- 7 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.94 -1.38
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 1- 3 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.94 -2.34
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.94 5.66
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.94 -2.24
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 -2.61
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 0.94 2.98
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 2- 2 -6.02 1.98 0.39 0.94 0.00
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 3- 0 -5.05 2.95 0.39 0.94 6.28
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 1 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.94 0.00
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 2- 3 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.94 -1.63
3 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 0- 6 -6.30 1.70 -0.39 0.94 -3.14
3 H Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 3- 2 -4.22 3.78 -0.39 0.94 6.36
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 -4.69 3.31 0.39 0.94 6.96
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 8.05
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 2- 4 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.94 -2.56
3 H Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 1- 2 -4.22 3.78 -0.39 0.94 -2.17
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 3- 3 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 0.00
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.94 -2.64
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 1- 2 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.94 -2.64
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 0 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.94 3.51
3 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 1 -6.52 1.48 -0.39 0.94 2.04
3 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 0- 3 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.94 -2.28
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 0- 2 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 0.94 -2.71
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 H Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 0- 6 -5.86 2.14 -0.39 0.94 -2.94
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 0- 2 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.94 -1.63
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 3- 1 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 0.94 2.98
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 0- 4 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.94 -2.24
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 3- 0 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 0.94 2.98
3 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.94 -1.38
------
5.89
|
winning pts = 53.2749 losing points = -47.3877
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------